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CRITICALMiddle East

Israel–Lebanon War

Lebanon · Since 2024

WOR SEVERITY INDEX
8.4
+0.4 this week
8.4
LATEST DEVELOPMENT

Israel launches strikes on southern Lebanon despite extending ‘ceasefire’

Al Jazeera’s Obaida Hitto reports from Tyre in southern Lebanon on the latest Israeli strikes in the region. At least five people have been killed in Israeli air attacks on several locations in southern and eastern Lebanon. Three paramedics at health centre among dead, while Hamas military chief Izz al-Din al-Haddad killed in Gaza strike Israel carried out airstrikes in southern Lebanon, killing at least six people, including three paramedics working at a health centre, just hours after its envoys had agreed with the Lebanese government to extend a ceasefire . Israel also said it had killed th

Direct violence indicators are elevated in this reporting cycle. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.

SOURCE: Al Jazeera

CONFLICT BACKGROUND

Israel launched a full-scale ground and air invasion of southern Lebanon in September 2024 following 11 months of cross-border exchanges with Hezbollah that began on October 8, 2023 in solidarity with Hamas. The IDF has advanced into southern Lebanon targeting Hezbollah command infrastructure, tunnel networks, and weapons depots. Hezbollah has responded with sustained rocket, missile, and drone barrages on northern Israel including Haifa and Tel Aviv. A ceasefire agreed in November 2024 collapsed within weeks. IDF remains deployed in a security buffer zone in southern Lebanon, occupying territory up to the Litani River. Lebanon's state institutions — already collapsed from the 2019–2020 financial crisis — are effectively non-functional in the south. UNIFIL peacekeepers have reported direct fire incidents from both sides.

ACTIVE PARTIES

  • Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
  • Hezbollah
  • Lebanese Armed Forces (limited)
  • UNIFIL (peacekeeping)

COUNTRY IMPACT

CountryImpact TypeSeverityDetails
LebanonDirect conflictCRITICALState collapse accelerated; Beirut economy paralyzed; 1.2M displaced; south Lebanon infrastructure destroyed
IsraelDirect conflictCRITICAL60,000 northern Israeli residents unable to return home; missile strikes reaching Haifa and Tel Aviv; wartime economic strain
IranMilitary involvementHIGHHezbollah is Iran's most capable proxy; degradation of Hezbollah represents a strategic setback for IRGC regional posture
SyriaMilitary involvementHIGHIDF striking Hezbollah weapons transfer routes through Syrian territory; Syrian border crossings targeted
FranceDiplomatic tensionHIGHFrance leads UNIFIL and has 700 peacekeepers at risk; major diplomatic pressure on Israel over UNIFIL incidents
ItalyMilitary involvementMEDIUMLargest UNIFIL contributor (1,100 troops); peacekeepers at risk from crossfire
SpainMilitary involvementMEDIUMUNIFIL contributor; joined ICJ proceedings against Israel
CyprusRefugee influxMEDIUMMass evacuation of foreign nationals via Cyprus; humanitarian corridor pressure
Saudi ArabiaDiplomatic tensionMEDIUMNormalization talks with Israel suspended; Arab League pressure to cease hostilities
USAMilitary involvementHIGHMilitary aid to Israel; pushing for UNSCR 1701 compliance; pressure on Israel over civilian casualties

RECENT DISPATCHES

KEY FIGURES

CASUALTIES
3,800+ killed (Lebanon); 100+ Israeli civilians and soldiers
DISPLACED
1.2 million displaced in Lebanon; 60,000 from northern Israel
START DATE
September 2024
LAST UPDATED
May 18, 2026

DATA SOURCES

  • ACLED
  • ISW
  • UN OCHA
  • UNIFIL
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