Myanmar Civil War
Myanmar · Since 2021
Ex-Myanmar ambassador to UK on trial for trespassing in diplomatic residence
Kyaw Zwar Minn was ousted for declaring loyalty to Aung San Suu Kyi after 2021 coup but refused to leave his home Diplomatic ruptures of this nature — recalling ambassadors, expelling envoys, or imposing targeted sanctions — are a recognised precursor to broader economic or military escalation and significantly reduce the available channels for de-escalation. Reporting via The Guardian. WOR continues to monitor the Myanmar conflict for further developments and severity changes.
WOR is monitoring the Myanmar conflict across all monitored international sources. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.
SOURCE: The Guardian ↗CONFLICT BACKGROUND
Armed resistance against the military junta (Tatmadaw) that seized power in February 2021 coup. Multiple ethnic armed organizations and the People's Defence Force (PDF) engaged in guerrilla and conventional operations.
ACTIVE PARTIES
- Tatmadaw (Myanmar Military)
- People's Defence Force
- Three Brotherhood Alliance
- Karen National Union
COUNTRY IMPACT
| Country | Impact Type | Severity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thailand | Refugee influx | HIGH | 200K+ refugees, border trade disruption, Mae Sot corridor pressure |
| China | Economic spillover | HIGH | Border trade, infrastructure investment exposure (BRI projects), Kokang militia dynamics |
| India | Refugee influx | MEDIUM | Mizoram state refugee influx, border security strain |
| Bangladesh | Refugee influx | MEDIUM | Rohingya refugee compounding, border instability |
| ASEAN | Diplomatic tension | MEDIUM | Bloc credibility crisis, Five-Point Consensus failure |
| Japan | Economic spillover | LOW | ODA investment losses, diplomatic pressure on junta |
RECENT DISPATCHES
KEY FIGURES
DATA SOURCES
- ↗ ACLED
- ↗ AAPP Burma
- ↗ UN Human Rights
Figures come from the sources above. Descriptions are synthesized from multi-outlet news monitoring — see how WOR works.