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ESCALATINGWest Africa

Nigeria — Boko Haram / ISWAP Insurgency

Nigeria · Since 2009

WOR SEVERITY INDEX
7.1
+0.4 this week
7.1
LATEST DEVELOPMENT

Nigeria: Death Toll Climbs to 18 in Niger Land Dispute

PREMIUM TIMES had earlier reported that the crisis, believed to have stemmed from a longstanding land dispute between two communities in Godoro village, claimed two lives. [Vanguard] Former President Olusegun Obasanjo has declared "Never Again" as the defining message for the 2026 Asaba Memorial Anniversary, warning that Nigeria must confront the lessons of its civil war history to ensure such a tragedy is never repeated. [African Arguments] Historically, the image of a typical Southern Nigerian farmer was never complete without the muturu cattle breed grazing quietly behind the homestead. It

Direct violence indicators are elevated in this reporting cycle. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.

SOURCE: AllAfrica

CONFLICT BACKGROUND

The Lake Chad Basin insurgency involves two jihadist groups: Boko Haram (JASDJ) and its more powerful splinter Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). ISWAP controls significant rural territory in Borno, Yobe, and Adamawa states, conducting near-daily attacks on military bases, civilian villages, and humanitarian convoys. The Nigerian military has achieved tactical gains but cannot hold cleared territory. The conflict has spilled into Niger, Chad, and Cameroon through the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF). Nigeria simultaneously faces a separate but overlapping farmer-herder conflict in the Middle Belt killing 1,500+/year and a low-grade separatist insurgency (IPOB) in the southeast.

ACTIVE PARTIES

  • Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)
  • Boko Haram (JASDJ — fragmented)
  • Nigerian Armed Forces
  • Civilian Joint Task Force (CJTF)
  • Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF — Nigeria, Niger, Chad, Cameroon, Benin)

COUNTRY IMPACT

CountryImpact TypeSeverityDetails
NigerMilitary involvementHIGHISWAP operates across Niger-Nigeria border; Diffa region under sustained attack; MNJTF partner
ChadMilitary involvementHIGHLake Chad islands are active ISWAP territory; Chad bears disproportionate MNJTF burden; 450,000 refugees
CameroonMilitary involvementHIGHFar North region under Boko Haram/ISWAP attack; 330,000 internally displaced; MNJTF contributor
BeninMilitary involvementMEDIUMISWAP expanding southward into northern Benin; first attacks in 2023; MNJTF contributor
EUMilitary involvementMEDIUMEU training mission (EUTM) and development aid; migration concern from Lake Chad instability
USAMilitary involvementMEDIUMAFRICOM support, intelligence sharing; drone operations from Niger (now suspended post-coup)

RECENT DISPATCHES

KEY FIGURES

CASUALTIES
40,000+ killed since 2009; 2,400+ in 2025
DISPLACED
2.4 million in Lake Chad Basin; 8 million food insecure in northeast Nigeria
START DATE
July 2009
LAST UPDATED
Jul 3, 2026

DATA SOURCES

  • ACLED
  • UN OCHA
  • Crisis Group
  • Armed Conflict Survey
VIEW GLOBAL IMPACT →SEE ON MAP →