Nigeria — Boko Haram / ISWAP Insurgency
Nigeria · Since 2009
Nigeria: Govt Skips Independence Day Parade for Second Year Running
For the second consecutive year, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu's administration has dropped the traditional Independence Day military parade. [Premium Times] "Nigeria was like a sick patient who receives the terrible news that he has cancer. [CyFrica] As Nigeria's digital economy accelerates towards an estimated $18. 3 billion in 2026, the country is confronting an equally urgent challenge: protecting the digital infrastructure, data and financial ecosystems powering that growth.
WOR is monitoring the Nigeria conflict across all monitored international sources. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.
SOURCE: AllAfrica ↗CONFLICT BACKGROUND
The Lake Chad Basin insurgency involves two jihadist groups: Boko Haram (JASDJ) and its more powerful splinter Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). ISWAP controls significant rural territory in Borno, Yobe, and Adamawa states, conducting near-daily attacks on military bases, civilian villages, and humanitarian convoys. The Nigerian military has achieved tactical gains but cannot hold cleared territory. The conflict has spilled into Niger, Chad, and Cameroon through the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF). Nigeria simultaneously faces a separate but overlapping farmer-herder conflict in the Middle Belt killing 1,500+/year and a low-grade separatist insurgency (IPOB) in the southeast.
ACTIVE PARTIES
- Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)
- Boko Haram (JASDJ — fragmented)
- Nigerian Armed Forces
- Civilian Joint Task Force (CJTF)
- Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF — Nigeria, Niger, Chad, Cameroon, Benin)
COUNTRY IMPACT
| Country | Impact Type | Severity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niger | Military involvement | HIGH | ISWAP operates across Niger-Nigeria border; Diffa region under sustained attack; MNJTF partner |
| Chad | Military involvement | HIGH | Lake Chad islands are active ISWAP territory; Chad bears disproportionate MNJTF burden; 450,000 refugees |
| Cameroon | Military involvement | HIGH | Far North region under Boko Haram/ISWAP attack; 330,000 internally displaced; MNJTF contributor |
| Benin | Military involvement | MEDIUM | ISWAP expanding southward into northern Benin; first attacks in 2023; MNJTF contributor |
| EU | Military involvement | MEDIUM | EU training mission (EUTM) and development aid; migration concern from Lake Chad instability |
| USA | Military involvement | MEDIUM | AFRICOM support, intelligence sharing; drone operations from Niger (now suspended post-coup) |
RECENT DISPATCHES
KEY FIGURES
DATA SOURCES
- ↗ ACLED
- ↗ UN OCHA
- ↗ Crisis Group
- ↗ Armed Conflict Survey
Figures come from the sources above. Descriptions are synthesized from multi-outlet news monitoring — see how WOR works.