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ESCALATINGWest Africa

Nigeria — Boko Haram / ISWAP Insurgency

Nigeria · Since 2009

WOR SEVERITY INDEX
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7.1
LATEST DEVELOPMENT

Nigeria: #osundecides2026: INEC Declares Accord's Ademola Adeleke Winner of Governorship Election

The incumbent governor defeated his closest challenger, Bola Oyebamiji of the APC, by 66,252 votes after polling 511,067 votes across the state. [Premium Times] Mr Kubiangha said the corps members adhered to instructions, operational guidelines and safety advisories issued during the sensitisation tour of the local government areas. [Bird Story Agency] Once primarily worn as wrappers and ceremonial dress, Akwete cloth is finding new life in contemporary clothing and university training. Weavers, educators and heritage specialists say expanding its market could preserve generations of knowledge

WOR is monitoring the Nigeria conflict across all monitored international sources. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.

SOURCE: AllAfrica

CONFLICT BACKGROUND

The Lake Chad Basin insurgency involves two jihadist groups: Boko Haram (JASDJ) and its more powerful splinter Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). ISWAP controls significant rural territory in Borno, Yobe, and Adamawa states, conducting near-daily attacks on military bases, civilian villages, and humanitarian convoys. The Nigerian military has achieved tactical gains but cannot hold cleared territory. The conflict has spilled into Niger, Chad, and Cameroon through the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF). Nigeria simultaneously faces a separate but overlapping farmer-herder conflict in the Middle Belt killing 1,500+/year and a low-grade separatist insurgency (IPOB) in the southeast.

ACTIVE PARTIES

  • Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)
  • Boko Haram (JASDJ — fragmented)
  • Nigerian Armed Forces
  • Civilian Joint Task Force (CJTF)
  • Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF — Nigeria, Niger, Chad, Cameroon, Benin)

COUNTRY IMPACT

CountryImpact TypeSeverityDetails
NigerMilitary involvementHIGHISWAP operates across Niger-Nigeria border; Diffa region under sustained attack; MNJTF partner
ChadMilitary involvementHIGHLake Chad islands are active ISWAP territory; Chad bears disproportionate MNJTF burden; 450,000 refugees
CameroonMilitary involvementHIGHFar North region under Boko Haram/ISWAP attack; 330,000 internally displaced; MNJTF contributor
BeninMilitary involvementMEDIUMISWAP expanding southward into northern Benin; first attacks in 2023; MNJTF contributor
EUMilitary involvementMEDIUMEU training mission (EUTM) and development aid; migration concern from Lake Chad instability
USAMilitary involvementMEDIUMAFRICOM support, intelligence sharing; drone operations from Niger (now suspended post-coup)

RECENT DISPATCHES

KEY FIGURES

CASUALTIES
40,000+ killed since 2009; 2,400+ in 2025
DISPLACED
2.4 million in Lake Chad Basin; 8 million food insecure in northeast Nigeria
START DATE
July 2009
LAST UPDATED
Aug 16, 2026

DATA SOURCES

  • ACLED
  • UN OCHA
  • Crisis Group
  • Armed Conflict Survey

Figures come from the sources above. Descriptions are synthesized from multi-outlet news monitoring — see how WOR works.

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