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CRITICALEastern Europe

Russia–Ukraine War

Ukraine · Since 2022

WOR SEVERITY INDEX
8.8
0.0 this week
8.8
LATEST DEVELOPMENT

Inside the 'kill-zone' on Ukraine's front line, where new weapons have transformed war

Machines are increasingly replacing humans on the front line, but troops are still vital for defending territory. Wave of almost 600 drones launched across 14 regions, after Moscow’s deadly three-day attack on Ukraine last week One of Ukraine’s largest ever drone strikes against Russia’s regions, including Moscow, has killed at least four people and wounded a dozen more, the Russian authorities have said. The wave of almost 600 Ukrainian drones struck overnight across 14 Russian regions, as well as the Crimean peninsula and the Black and Azov seas, the Russian defence ministry said on Sunday,

WOR is monitoring the Ukraine conflict across all monitored international sources. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.

SOURCE: BBC News

CONFLICT BACKGROUND

Full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine launched February 24, 2022, following annexation of Crimea in 2014 and Donbas conflict since 2014. Largest conventional warfare in Europe since World War II.

ACTIVE PARTIES

  • Russian Armed Forces
  • Ukrainian Armed Forces
  • Wagner Group (remnants)
  • International Legion

COUNTRY IMPACT

CountryImpact TypeSeverityDetails
GermanyEnergy supplyHIGHEnergy dependency restructuring, €200B+ economic impact, defense spending surge
PolandRefugee influxHIGH1.5M+ Ukrainian refugees, NATO eastern flank deployment, border militarization
MoldovaEnergy supplyHIGHEnergy supply vulnerability, refugee pressure, Russian destabilization risk
FinlandMilitary involvementHIGHNATO accession driven by conflict, Russian border militarization
HungaryDiplomatic tensionMEDIUMEnergy import disputes with EU, pro-Russia political tension
RomaniaMilitary involvementMEDIUMBlack Sea security, military infrastructure hosting
TurkeyDiplomatic tensionMEDIUMGrain corridor mediation role, Bosphorus Strait control leverage
ChinaDiplomatic tensionMEDIUMDiplomatic isolation pressure, trade opportunity from Russian sanctions
USAMilitary involvementMEDIUM$75B+ military aid commitment, domestic political debate
FranceMilitary involvementMEDIUMDefense industry surge, EU leadership role
UKMilitary involvementMEDIUMMilitary aid, intelligence sharing, economic sanctions enforcement
IndiaEconomic spilloverLOWDiscounted Russian oil imports, diplomatic balancing act
BrazilTrade disruptionLOWFertilizer import disruption — Russian/Belarusian supply
JapanEnergy supplyLOWLNG supply diversification costs, solidarity sanctions
South KoreaDiplomatic tensionLOWWeapons export controversy, economic exposure

RECENT DISPATCHES

KEY FIGURES

CASUALTIES
500,000+ estimated killed or wounded (combined)
DISPLACED
6.5 million refugees abroad; 5.1 million internally displaced
START DATE
February 2022
LAST UPDATED
May 18, 2026

DATA SOURCES

  • ACLED
  • UN Monitoring Mission
  • UNHCR
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