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ACTIVEEast Africa (Horn)

Somalia — Al-Shabaab

Somalia · Since 2006

WOR SEVERITY INDEX
6.5
0.0 this week
6.5
LATEST DEVELOPMENT

Kenya: Kenya Keeps Somalia Border Closed Over Security Concerns, Ruto Says

Kenyan President William Ruto said Thursday that renewed instability in Somalia had forced Nairobi to keep its border with neighboring Somalia closed, nearly 15 years after the frontier was first shut. Reporting via AllAfrica. WOR continues to monitor the Somalia conflict for further developments and severity changes.

WOR is monitoring the Somalia conflict across all monitored international sources. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.

SOURCE: AllAfrica

CONFLICT BACKGROUND

Al-Shabaab jihadist insurgency against the Federal Government of Somalia and ATMIS peacekeeping mission. Despite territorial losses, the group maintains guerrilla and terrorist capability across southern and central Somalia.

ACTIVE PARTIES

  • Al-Shabaab (al-Qaeda affiliate)
  • Somali National Army
  • ATMIS (African Union Mission)

COUNTRY IMPACT

CountryImpact TypeSeverityDetails
KenyaMilitary involvementHIGHWestgate-style attack risk, 400K+ Somali refugees, border operations
EthiopiaMilitary involvementHIGHAMISOM troop commitment, domestic al-Shabaab links
UgandaMilitary involvementMEDIUMAMISOM leadership, domestic bombing risk
USAMilitary involvementMEDIUMDrone strike program, Camp Lemonnier operations
EUMilitary involvementMEDIUMEUTM Somalia training mission, piracy resurgence risk
TanzaniaDiplomatic tensionLOWRegional stability concern, tourism sector risk
DjiboutiMilitary involvementLOWAMISOM contributor, port security

RECENT DISPATCHES

KEY FIGURES

CASUALTIES
3,200+ killed in 2025
DISPLACED
3.8 million internally displaced
START DATE
January 2006
LAST UPDATED
May 18, 2026

DATA SOURCES

  • ACLED
  • UN Somalia Monitoring Group
  • AMISOM Reports
VIEW GLOBAL IMPACT →SEE ON MAP →