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CRITICALSub-Saharan Africa

Sudan Civil War

Sudan · Since 2023

WOR SEVERITY INDEX
9.2
+0.4 this week
9.2
LATEST DEVELOPMENT

Fears of new massacre in Sudan’s el-Obeid: What do we know?

As RSF troops besiege el-Obeid, 500,000 civilians face mass atrocities amid drone strikes and a stalled peace process. Report accuses paramilitary force of crimes including ethnic cleansing in systemic campaign against civilians The Sudanese paramilitary Rapid Support Forces committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing during its campaign to capture El Fasher, Amnesty International has alleged. Many of the crimes, including murder, torture, rape, enslavement and sexual slavery, were carried out as part of a widespread and systematic attack against civilians and amounted to crimes aga

WOR is monitoring the Sudan conflict across all monitored international sources. Severity scoring updates every 5 minutes as new reporting arrives. For full background on this conflict, see the conflict profile below.

SOURCE: Al Jazeera

CONFLICT BACKGROUND

Armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary group, precipitated by a power struggle following the 2021 coup. Characterized by mass atrocities and famine conditions.

ACTIVE PARTIES

  • Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)
  • Rapid Support Forces (RSF)
  • Sudan Liberation Army

COUNTRY IMPACT

CountryImpact TypeSeverityDetails
EgyptRefugee influxHIGHRefugee influx — 1.8M+ displaced persons crossing border, strain on social services
ChadRefugee influxHIGHBorder instability, 600K+ refugees, humanitarian crisis escalation
EthiopiaTrade disruptionMEDIUMEastern border tensions, trade route disruption
LibyaMilitary involvementMEDIUMArms trafficking corridors through desert border, militia financing links
South SudanEnergy supplyMEDIUMFuel supply disruption, cross-border displacement
Saudi ArabiaTrade disruptionLOWReduced Red Sea trade confidence, indirect economic impact
UAEEconomic spilloverLOWInvestment exposure in Sudanese agriculture sector

RECENT DISPATCHES

KEY FIGURES

CASUALTIES
15,000+ confirmed deaths (est. 150,000 total)
DISPLACED
8.2 million internally displaced; world's largest displacement crisis
START DATE
April 2023
LAST UPDATED
Jul 3, 2026

DATA SOURCES

  • ACLED
  • UN OCHA
  • UNHCR
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